Championship (England) · Sat, Apr 11 · 11:30 · Coventry City vs Sheffield Wednesday
Likeliest: Coventry City win · 72%
We make it 46% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 30%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Coventry City72%84%−12
OursMarket
Draw18%11%+7
OursMarket
Sheffield Wednesday10%6%+5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 70% | −17 |
| Both teams score | 47% | 45% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 90% | 94% | −5 |
| Double chance X2 | 28% | 16% | +12 |
| Double chance 12 | 82% | 89% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 88% | 94% | −6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Coventry City
WinLossWinWinDraw
- Apr 6 · at Hull City (A)0-0
- Apr 3 · v Derby County (H)3-2
- Mar 21 · at Swansea City (A)3-0
- Mar 14 · v Southampton (H)1-2
- Mar 11 · v Preston North End (H)3-0
Sheffield Wednesday
DrawLossLossLossDraw
- Apr 6 · v Leicester City (H)1-1
- Apr 3 · at Stoke City (A)0-2
- Mar 21 · at Hull City (A)1-3
- Mar 14 · v Ipswich Town (H)0-2
- Mar 10 · v Watford (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Coventry City | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-1-1 | 0-2-8 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | 0-0-10 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Coventry City form·Sheffield Wednesday form·Head-to-head record