Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 8 · 12:30 · Coventry City vs Stoke City
Likeliest: Coventry City win · 60%
A tight one: we make it 60% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Coventry City60%——
OursMarket
Draw20%——
OursMarket
Stoke City18%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 38% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Coventry City
LossWinWinWinWin
- Mar 1 · at Oxford United (A)3-2
- Feb 22 · v Preston North End (H)2-1
- Feb 15 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)2-1
- Feb 11 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-0
- Feb 8 · v Ipswich Town (H)1-4
Stoke City
LossWinLossLossDraw
- Mar 1 · v Watford (H)0-0
- Feb 25 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-3
- Feb 22 · at Norwich City (A)2-4
- Feb 15 · v Swansea City (H)3-1
- Feb 12 · at Bristol City (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Coventry City | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-0-2 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-2 | 1-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.