Championship (England) · Sat, Jan 25 · 15:00 · Coventry City vs Watford

    Likeliest: Coventry City win · 52%

    A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Coventry City52%——
    OursMarket
    Draw23%——
    OursMarket
    Watford24%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals64%——
    Double chance 1X76%——
    Double chance X248%——
    Double chance 1277%——
    Draw no bet (home)68%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Coventry City
    DrawLossWinWin
    • Jan 21 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)2-0
    • Jan 18 · v Bristol City (H)1-0
    • Jan 4 · at Norwich City (A)1-2
    • Jan 1 · at Cardiff City (A)1-1
    Watford
    LossLossDrawWinLoss
    • Jan 21 · v Preston North End (H)1-2
    • Jan 18 · at Derby County (A)2-0
    • Jan 14 · at Cardiff City (A)1-1
    • Jan 9 · at Fulham (A)1-4
    • Jan 4 · v Sheffield United (H)1-2
    Last 10 gamesCoventry CityWatford
    Won-drawn-lost—1-1-4
    Goals scored a game—1.2
    Goals conceded a game—2.0
    Over 2.5 goals—67%
    Both teams scored—83%
    Clean sheets—17%
    Last 10 at this venue——

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Coventry City form·Watford form·Head-to-head record

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