Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 22 · 12:30 · Coventry City vs West Bromwich Albion
Likeliest: Coventry City win · 64%
A 64% home win. The market says 54%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Coventry City64%54%+10
OursMarket
Draw21%26%−5
OursMarket
West Bromwich Albion15%20%−5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 50% | +8 |
| Double chance 1X | 85% | 80% | +5 |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | 46% | −10 |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | 74% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 81% | 73% | +8 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Coventry City
WinWinLossWinWin
- Nov 8 · at Stoke City (A)1-0
- Nov 4 · v Sheffield United (H)3-1
- Oct 31 · at Wrexham (A)2-3
- Oct 25 · v Watford (H)3-1
- Oct 21 · at Portsmouth (A)2-1
West Bromwich Albion
LossLossDrawLossWin
- Nov 8 · v Oxford United (H)2-1
- Nov 4 · at Charlton Athletic (A)0-1
- Nov 1 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)0-0
- Oct 25 · at Ipswich Town (A)0-1
- Oct 22 · at Watford (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Coventry City | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-1-1 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-2-1 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Coventry City form·West Bromwich Albion form·Head-to-head record