Serie B (Brazil) · Sat, Oct 24 · 21:30 · CRB vs Londrina
Likeliest: CRB win · 56%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
CRB56%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Londrina21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.9 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
CRB
WinLossWinDrawLoss
- Oct 18 · v Botafogo-SP (H)0-1
- Oct 12 · at Fortaleza (A)2-2
- Oct 7 · v Atlético Goianiense (H)3-1
- Oct 2 · at São Bernardo (A)1-3
- Sep 27 · v Cuiabá (H)3-0
Londrina
LossDrawLossLossDraw
- Oct 13 · at Athletic Club (A)2-2
- Oct 7 · at Avaí (A)1-2
- Oct 2 · v Criciúma (H)0-2
- Sep 25 · at Vila Nova FC (A)0-0
- Sep 20 · v Fortaleza (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | CRB | Londrina |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-2-1 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.