Premier League (England) · Sun, Jan 26 · 14:00 · Crystal Palace vs Brentford
Likeliest: Crystal Palace win · 48%
A tight one: we make it 48% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Crystal Palace48%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Brentford26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Crystal Palace
DrawWinWinWin
- Jan 18 · at West Ham United (A)2-0
- Jan 15 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
- Jan 12 · v Stockport County (H)1-0
- Jan 4 · v Chelsea (H)1-1
Brentford
LossWinLossDrawLoss
- Jan 18 · v Liverpool (H)0-2
- Jan 14 · v Manchester City (H)2-2
- Jan 11 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)0-1
- Jan 4 · at Southampton (A)5-0
- Jan 1 · v Arsenal (H)1-3
| Last 10 games | Crystal Palace | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 1-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 60% |
| Both teams scored | — | 40% |
| Clean sheets | — | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.