Premier League (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 · Crystal Palace vs Brentford
Likeliest: Crystal Palace win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Crystal Palace54%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Brentford23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Crystal Palace
LossDrawLossLossWin
- Oct 29 · at Liverpool (A)3-0
- Oct 26 · at Arsenal (A)0-1
- Oct 23 · v AEK Larnaca (H)0-1
- Oct 18 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)3-3
- Oct 5 · at Everton (A)1-2
Brentford
WinLossWinWinWin
- Oct 28 · at Grimsby Town (A)5-0
- Oct 25 · v Liverpool (H)3-2
- Oct 20 · at West Ham United (A)2-0
- Oct 5 · v Manchester City (H)0-1
- Sep 27 · v Manchester United (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Crystal Palace | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-4-1 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.