Premier League (England) · Sun, Nov 9 · 14:00 · Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Likeliest: Crystal Palace win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Crystal Palace55%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Brighton & Hove Albion21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Crystal Palace
LossLossWinWinWin
- Nov 6 · v AZ (H)3-1
- Nov 1 · v Brentford (H)2-0
- Oct 29 · at Liverpool (A)3-0
- Oct 26 · at Arsenal (A)0-1
- Oct 23 · v AEK Larnaca (H)0-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Nov 1 · v Leeds United (H)3-0
- Oct 29 · at Arsenal (A)0-2
- Oct 25 · at Manchester United (A)2-4
- Oct 18 · v Newcastle United (H)2-1
- Oct 5 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Crystal Palace | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-3-1 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Crystal Palace form·Brighton & Hove Albion form·Head-to-head record