Premier League (England) · Sat, Jan 4 · 15:00 · Crystal Palace vs Chelsea
Likeliest: Crystal Palace win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Crystal Palace47%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Chelsea29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.