Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 15 · 17:30 · Crystal Palace vs Everton
Likeliest: Crystal Palace win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Crystal Palace49%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Everton23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Crystal Palace
WinWinLossWinWin
- Feb 10 · at Doncaster Rovers (A)2-0
- Feb 2 · at Manchester United (A)2-0
- Jan 26 · v Brentford (H)1-2
- Jan 18 · at West Ham United (A)2-0
- Jan 15 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
Everton
WinWinWinLossDraw
- Feb 12 · v Liverpool (H)2-2
- Feb 8 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)0-2
- Feb 1 · v Leicester City (H)4-0
- Jan 25 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-0
- Jan 19 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | Crystal Palace | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-1 | 4-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 14% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 71% | 38% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.