Premier League (England) · Sat, Mar 8 · 15:00 · Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town
Likeliest: Crystal Palace win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Crystal Palace54%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Ipswich Town22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Crystal Palace
WinLossWinWinWin
- Mar 1 · v Millwall (H)3-1
- Feb 25 · v Aston Villa (H)4-1
- Feb 22 · at Fulham (A)2-0
- Feb 15 · v Everton (H)1-2
- Feb 10 · at Doncaster Rovers (A)2-0
Ipswich Town
LossWinDrawLossLoss
- Feb 26 · at Manchester United (A)2-3
- Feb 22 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)1-4
- Feb 15 · at Aston Villa (A)1-1
- Feb 8 · at Coventry City (A)4-1
- Feb 1 · v Southampton (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Crystal Palace | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-0-2 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-2 | 1-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.