Women's Super League (England) · Sun, Sep 20 · 13:00 · Crystal Palace vs Tottenham FC
Likeliest: Tottenham FC win · 62%
A tight one: we make it 62% for the away win. The market says 58%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Crystal Palace16%19%−3
OursMarket
Draw23%23%0
OursMarket
Tottenham FC62%58%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 54% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | 51% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 38% | 42% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 84% | 81% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 20% | 25% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Crystal Palace
WinDraw
- Sep 13 · at Arsenal (A)0-0
- Sep 6 · v Everton (H)1-0
Tottenham FC
WinDraw
- Sep 13 · at Liverpool FC (A)1-1
- Sep 6 · v West Ham United (H)3-1