Premier League (England) · Sun, Feb 22 · 14:00 · Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Likeliest: Crystal Palace win · 50%
We make it 59% for both teams to score. The market says 50%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Crystal Palace50%56%−6
OursMarket
Draw23%25%−2
OursMarket
Wolverhampton Wanderers27%20%+7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 50% | +7 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 50% | +9 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 80% | −7 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 44% | +6 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 75% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 74% | −9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Crystal Palace
LossDrawWinLossDraw
- Feb 19 · at Zrinjski (A)1-1
- Feb 11 · v Burnley (H)2-3
- Feb 8 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-0
- Feb 1 · at Nottingham Forest (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v Chelsea (H)1-3
Wolverhampton Wanderers
LossLossDrawWinDraw
- Feb 18 · v Arsenal (H)2-2
- Feb 15 · at Grimsby Town (A)1-0
- Feb 11 · at Nottingham Forest (A)0-0
- Feb 7 · v Chelsea (H)1-3
- Jan 31 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Crystal Palace | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-4-5 | 1-3-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Crystal Palace form·Wolverhampton Wanderers form·Head-to-head record