Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sun, Sep 20 · 17:00 · DAC 1904 vs FC Spartak Trnava
Likeliest: DAC 1904 win · 54%
We make it 69% for both teams to score. The market says 54%.
14 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
DAC 190454%53%+1
OursMarket
Draw25%25%0
OursMarket
FC Spartak Trnava22%22%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 54% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 69% | 54% | +14 |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 78% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 47% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 71% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 2.2 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
DAC 1904
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Sep 15 · at TJ Družstevník Veľké Ludince (A)2-3
- Sep 12 · at AS Trenčín (A)4-1
- Sep 5 · v ŠK Slovan Bratislava (H)2-0
- Aug 30 · at MFK Skalica (A)6-1
- Aug 22 · v FK Železiarne Podbrezová (H)5-0
FC Spartak Trnava
WinWinLossDrawWin
- Sep 12 · v FC Košice (H)5-2
- Sep 6 · at MFK Ružomberok (A)1-1
- Aug 30 · v MŠK Žilina (H)1-3
- Aug 23 · at AS Trenčín (A)4-0
- Aug 16 · v MFK Zemplín Michalovce (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | DAC 1904 | FC Spartak Trnava |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-2 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-0 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.