Major League Soccer (USA) · Sat, Oct 24 · 23:30 · DC United vs FC Cincinnati
Likeliest: DC United win · 44%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
DC United44%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
FC Cincinnati33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.9 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
DC United
LossDrawLossWinLoss
- Oct 17 · at Orlando City SC (A)1-4
- Oct 14 · v New York Red Bulls (H)2-1
- Oct 10 · at Inter Miami CF (A)0-4
- Sep 27 · at Vancouver Whitecaps (A)3-3
- Sep 19 · v Charlotte FC (H)1-2
FC Cincinnati
DrawLossWinLossLoss
- Oct 18 · v Columbus Crew (H)0-2
- Oct 14 · v New England Revolution (H)2-3
- Oct 10 · at Atlanta United (A)3-1
- Sep 26 · at CF Montréal (A)1-3
- Sep 20 · at Houston Dynamo (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | DC United | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-5-2 | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.