La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Feb 22 · 13:00 · Deportivo Alavés vs Espanyol
Likeliest: Deportivo Alavés win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Deportivo Alavés43%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Espanyol30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Deportivo Alavés
WinDrawLossLossDraw
- Feb 15 · at Leganés (A)3-3
- Feb 9 · v Getafe (H)0-1
- Feb 2 · at FC Barcelona (A)0-1
- Jan 27 · v Celta de Vigo (H)1-1
- Jan 18 · at Real Betis (A)3-1
Espanyol
WinDrawWinLossDraw
- Feb 16 · v Athletic Club (H)1-1
- Feb 9 · at Real Sociedad (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Real Madrid (H)1-0
- Jan 25 · at Sevilla (A)1-1
- Jan 17 · v Real Valladolid (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Deportivo Alavés | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-3 | 2-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.