La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Nov 2 · 15:15 · Deportivo Alavés vs Espanyol
Likeliest: Deportivo Alavés win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Deportivo Alavés46%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Espanyol28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Deportivo Alavés
LossWinDrawLossWin
- Oct 30 · at Getxo (A)7-0
- Oct 26 · at Rayo Vallecano (A)0-1
- Oct 20 · v Valencia (H)0-0
- Oct 5 · v Elche (H)3-1
- Sep 27 · at Mallorca (A)0-1
Espanyol
DrawLossWinWinWin
- Oct 30 · at Atlètic Lleida (A)2-1
- Oct 25 · v Elche (H)1-0
- Oct 17 · at Real Oviedo (A)2-0
- Oct 5 · v Real Betis (H)1-2
- Sep 26 · at Girona (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Deportivo Alavés | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.