La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Feb 9 · 13:00 · Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe
Likeliest: Deportivo Alavés win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Deportivo Alavés46%——
OursMarket
Draw31%——
OursMarket
Getafe24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 69% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Deportivo Alavés
LossWinDrawLoss
- Feb 2 · at FC Barcelona (A)0-1
- Jan 27 · v Celta de Vigo (H)1-1
- Jan 18 · at Real Betis (A)3-1
- Jan 11 · v Girona (H)0-1
Getafe
WinDrawWinDrawLoss
- Feb 4 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-5
- Feb 1 · v Sevilla (H)0-0
- Jan 26 · at Real Sociedad (A)3-0
- Jan 18 · v FC Barcelona (H)1-1
- Jan 15 · at Pontevedra (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Deportivo Alavés | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 50% |
| Both teams scored | — | 33% |
| Clean sheets | — | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.