La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Jan 11 · 13:00 · Deportivo Alavés vs Girona
Likeliest: Deportivo Alavés win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Deportivo Alavés51%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Girona19%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.