La Liga 2 (Spain) · Sun, May 17 · 12:00 · Deportivo La Coruña vs FC Andorra
Likeliest: Deportivo La Coruña win · 40%
A 34% away win. The market says 19%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Deportivo La Coruña40%58%−18
OursMarket
Draw27%23%+4
OursMarket
FC Andorra34%19%+15
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 61% | −10 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 61% | −8 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 81% | −15 |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | 42% | +18 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 77% | −4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | 75% | −21 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Deportivo La Coruña
DrawWinDrawWinWin
- May 8 · at Cádiz (A)1-0
- May 1 · v Leganés (H)2-1
- Apr 25 · at Burgos (A)1-1
- Apr 20 · v Mirandés (H)3-1
- Apr 12 · at Huesca (A)1-1
FC Andorra
WinWinWinLossWin
- May 10 · v Las Palmas (H)5-1
- May 1 · v Albacete (H)0-1
- Apr 26 · at Leganés (A)4-0
- Apr 19 · v Real Valladolid (H)1-0
- Apr 12 · at Cádiz (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Deportivo La Coruña | FC Andorra |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-4-0 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-1-3 | 6-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.