Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 8 · 15:00 · Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers
Likeliest: Derby County win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Derby County50%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Blackburn Rovers23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Derby County
DrawDrawLossLossLoss
- Mar 1 · at Middlesbrough (A)0-1
- Feb 22 · v Millwall (H)0-1
- Feb 14 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)0-4
- Feb 11 · v Oxford United (H)0-0
- Feb 8 · at Norwich City (A)1-1
Blackburn Rovers
LossWinWinLossDraw
- Mar 1 · v Norwich City (H)1-1
- Feb 22 · at Swansea City (A)0-3
- Feb 15 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)2-0
- Feb 12 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)2-0
- Feb 9 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Derby County | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-2-8 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 0-1-4 | 2-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.