Presidents Cup (UAE) · Sun, Oct 11 · 13:10 · Dibba Al-Hisn vs Al Bataeh
Likeliest: Dibba Al-Hisn win · 43%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. The market says 44%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Dibba Al-Hisn43%44%−1
OursMarket
Draw27%26%+1
OursMarket
Al Bataeh30%30%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 70% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 74% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Dibba Al-Hisn
DrawDraw
- Oct 4 · at Fujairah FC (A)1-1
- Sep 29 · at Al Qabila FC (A)1-1
Al Bataeh
LossLossDrawDrawLoss
- Sep 23 · v Al Qabila FC (H)0-2
- May 16 · at Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (A)1-1
- May 10 · v Al Sharjah (H)0-0
- May 5 · at Dibba Al Fujairah (A)1-2
- Apr 23 · v Al Ain (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Dibba Al-Hisn | Al Bataeh |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 1-5-4 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 20% |
| Both teams scored | — | 50% |
| Clean sheets | — | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.