Botola Pro (Morocco) · Sat, Oct 3 · 18:00 · Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi vs Wydad Casablanca
Likeliest: Wydad Casablanca win · 45%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 45% for the away win. The market says 44%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi23%26%−4
OursMarket
Draw33%30%+3
OursMarket
Wydad Casablanca45%44%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 41% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | 47% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 77% | 74% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 68% | 70% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 34% | 38% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi
WinDrawDrawLossLoss
- Sep 26 · v CODM Meknès (H)2-6
- Jul 5 · v RS Berkane (H)1-3
- Jul 2 · at Union Sportive Yacoub El Mansour (A)2-2
- Jun 28 · v Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (H)1-1
- Jun 25 · at Union Touarga Sport (A)2-1
Wydad Casablanca
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Sep 26 · v Widad Temara (H)1-3
- Jul 5 · v Union Touarga Sport (H)1-2
- Jul 5 · v UTS Rabat (H)1-2
- Jul 2 · at RSB Berkane (A)0-2
- Jul 2 · at RS Berkane (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi | Wydad Casablanca |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 0-0-10 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-2 | 1-1-8 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.