2. Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, May 2 · 11:00 · DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum 1848
Likeliest: DSC Arminia Bielefeld win · 66%
A 66% home win. The market says 47%.
19 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
DSC Arminia Bielefeld66%47%+19
OursMarket
Draw20%25%−6
OursMarket
VfL Bochum 184815%28%−13
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 59% | −13 |
| Both teams score | 51% | 62% | −11 |
| Double chance 1X | 86% | 72% | +13 |
| Double chance X2 | 34% | 53% | −19 |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | 75% | +6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 82% | 63% | +19 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
LossWinLossDrawWin
- Apr 25 · at Preußen Münster (A)3-2
- Apr 18 · v Nürnberg (H)1-1
- Apr 10 · at Karlsruher SC (A)1-4
- Apr 4 · v Darmstadt 98 (H)2-1
- Mar 21 · at Elversberg (A)1-3
VfL Bochum 1848
LossLossWinLossWin
- Apr 26 · v SpVgg Greuther Fürth (H)2-1
- Apr 18 · at Dynamo Dresden (A)0-2
- Apr 12 · v Eintracht Braunschweig (H)4-1
- Apr 4 · at Magdeburg (A)1-4
- Mar 22 · v Holstein Kiel (H)2-3
| Last 10 games | DSC Arminia Bielefeld | VfL Bochum 1848 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 3-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.