FNL (Czech Republic) · Fri, Oct 23 · 16:00 · Dukla Praha vs SK Kladno
Likeliest: Dukla Praha win · 37%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Dukla Praha37%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
SK Kladno36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Dukla Praha
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Oct 16 · at MFK Karviná (A)0-3
- Oct 12 · v Baník Ostrava B (H)3-2
- Oct 2 · v FK Jablonec (H)0-1
- May 23 · v Baník Ostrava (H)0-3
- May 16 · at Teplice (A)0-2
SK Kladno
DrawWinLoss
- Oct 18 · v Arsenal Česká Lípa (H)2-3
- Oct 10 · at FK Třinec (A)1-0
- Sep 23 · v Baník Ostrava (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Dukla Praha | SK Kladno |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-7 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — |
| Both teams scored | 50% | — |
| Clean sheets | 0% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-7 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.