Premier Division (South Africa) · Tue, Oct 13 · 17:30 · Durban City FC vs AmaZulu FC
Likeliest: Durban City FC win · 34%
We make it 52% for both teams to score. The market says 46%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Durban City FC34%37%−3
OursMarket
Draw34%31%+3
OursMarket
AmaZulu FC32%32%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 38% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 52% | 46% | +6 |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | 68% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | 63% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 66% | 69% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Durban City FC
DrawWinWinLossDraw
- Sep 20 · at Milford FC (A)1-1
- Sep 17 · at Orlando Pirates (A)0-2
- Sep 13 · at Rukinzo FC (A)2-1
- Sep 6 · v Rukinzo FC (H)1-0
- Sep 1 · v Stellenbosch (H)0-0
AmaZulu FC
WinLossWinWinWin
- Sep 19 · at Polokwane City (A)1-0
- Sep 12 · v Marumo Gallants FC (H)1-0
- Sep 4 · at Richards Bay FC (A)2-1
- Aug 26 · at Mamelodi Sundowns (A)2-5
- Aug 15 · v Siwelele FC (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Durban City FC | AmaZulu FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-6-2 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.