Premier League (Ukraine) · Sun, Sep 6 · 10:00 · Dynamo Kyiv vs LNZ Cherkasy
Likeliest: Dynamo Kyiv win · 49%
We make it 50% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 46%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Dynamo Kyiv49%48%+1
OursMarket
Draw28%28%0
OursMarket
LNZ Cherkasy23%25%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 46% | +5 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 49% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 75% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 52% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 72% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | 66% | +2 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Dynamo Kyiv
WinWinLossWinLoss
- Aug 31 · at Bukovyna Chernivtsi (A)0-3
- Aug 16 · v Kolos Kovalivka (H)2-1
- Aug 13 · at Qarabağ (A)0-2
- Aug 9 · at Veres Rivne (A)2-1
- Aug 6 · v Qarabağ (H)1-0
LNZ Cherkasy
DrawDrawLossWinDraw
- Aug 30 · v Veres Rivne (H)0-0
- Aug 16 · v Chornomorets Odesa (H)2-0
- Aug 10 · at Karpaty Lviv (A)0-3
- Aug 3 · at Bukovyna Chernivtsi (A)0-0
- Jul 30 · at KAA Gent (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Dynamo Kyiv | LNZ Cherkasy |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 80% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.