2. Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Oct 25 · 12:30 · Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hannover 96
Likeliest: Hannover 96 win · 45%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 45% for the away win. The market says 43%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Eintracht Braunschweig30%32%−3
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
Hannover 9645%43%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 66% | 66% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 55% | 57% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 71% | 68% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 40% | 43% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Eintracht Braunschweig
LossDrawLossWinLoss
- Oct 17 · at SpVgg Greuther Fürth (A)0-2
- Oct 9 · v Holstein Kiel (H)1-0
- Sep 19 · at 1. FC Kaiserslautern (A)0-1
- Sep 12 · v SG Dynamo Dresden (H)2-2
- Sep 6 · at VfL Osnabrück (A)1-3
Hannover 96
DrawLossWinLossDraw
- Oct 17 · v FC St. Pauli (H)1-1
- Oct 10 · at 1. FC Magdeburg (A)0-3
- Sep 20 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)2-1
- Sep 11 · at 1. FC Nürnberg (A)1-2
- Sep 4 · v Karlsruher SC (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | Eintracht Braunschweig | Hannover 96 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-7 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.