2. Bundesliga (Germany) · Fri, Aug 14 · 16:30 · Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum 1848
Likeliest: Eintracht Braunschweig win · 47%
A 47% home win. The market says 38%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Eintracht Braunschweig47%38%+9
OursMarket
Draw26%28%−2
OursMarket
VfL Bochum 184827%34%−7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 51% | −5 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 66% | +7 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 62% | −9 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 72% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | 53% | +11 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Eintracht Braunschweig
WinLossWinLossWin
- Aug 8 · at 1. FC Magdeburg (A)6-1
- May 17 · at Schalke 04 (A)0-1
- May 9 · v Dynamo Dresden (H)2-1
- May 2 · at Holstein Kiel (A)0-2
- Apr 24 · at Kaiserslautern (A)2-0
VfL Bochum 1848
WinDrawDrawWinLoss
- Aug 7 · v Hertha BSC (H)0-1
- May 17 · at Karlsruher SC (A)2-1
- May 9 · v Hannover 96 (H)1-1
- May 2 · at DSC Arminia Bielefeld (A)1-1
- Apr 26 · v SpVgg Greuther Fürth (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Eintracht Braunschweig | VfL Bochum 1848 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.