Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 14 · 14:30 · Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Likeliest: Eintracht Frankfurt win · 43%
A 32% away win. The market says 26%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Eintracht Frankfurt43%48%−5
OursMarket
Draw25%26%−1
OursMarket
Borussia Mönchengladbach32%26%+7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 54% | +4 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 57% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | 74% | −7 |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | 52% | +5 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | 65% | −8 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Eintracht Frankfurt
LossLossLossLossDraw
- Feb 6 · at FC Union Berlin (A)1-1
- Jan 31 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)1-3
- Jan 28 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)0-2
- Jan 24 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)1-3
- Jan 21 · at Qarabağ (A)2-3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
LossDrawLossDrawDraw
- Feb 7 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)1-1
- Jan 31 · at Werder Bremen (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)0-3
- Jan 17 · at Hamburger SV (A)0-0
- Jan 14 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)1-5
| Last 10 games | Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Eintracht Frankfurt form·Borussia Mönchengladbach form·Head-to-head record