Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Dec 13 · 14:30 · Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg
Likeliest: Eintracht Frankfurt win · 48%
We make it 48% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 40%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Eintracht Frankfurt48%53%−5
OursMarket
Draw25%24%+2
OursMarket
FC Augsburg27%23%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 60% | −8 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 77% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | 47% | +5 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 76% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 70% | −5 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Eintracht Frankfurt
WinLossDrawLossLoss
- Dec 9 · at FC Barcelona (A)1-2
- Dec 6 · at RB Leipzig (A)0-6
- Nov 30 · v VfL Wolfsburg (H)1-1
- Nov 26 · v Atalanta (H)0-3
- Nov 22 · at FC Köln (A)4-3
FC Augsburg
LossLossWinLossWin
- Dec 6 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)2-0
- Nov 29 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)0-3
- Nov 22 · v Hamburger SV (H)1-0
- Nov 9 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)2-3
- Oct 31 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Eintracht Frankfurt form·FC Augsburg form·Head-to-head record