Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Sep 6 · 15:30 · Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg
Likeliest: Eintracht Frankfurt win · 50%
We make it 44% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 34%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Eintracht Frankfurt50%50%+1
OursMarket
Draw23%24%−1
OursMarket
FC Augsburg27%27%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 66% | −10 |
| Both teams score | 63% | 66% | −3 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 73% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 50% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 76% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 65% | 0 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Eintracht Frankfurt
LossLossDrawWinDraw
- Aug 29 · at 1. FC Union Berlin (A)3-3
- Aug 21 · at SC St Tönis 11/20 (A)11-0
- May 16 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)2-2
- May 8 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)2-3
- May 2 · v Hamburger SV (H)1-2
FC Augsburg
WinWinLossWinWin
- Aug 30 · v FC Schalke 04 (H)3-0
- Aug 22 · at Energie Cottbus (A)2-0
- May 16 · at FC Union Berlin (A)0-4
- May 9 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)3-1
- May 2 · at Werder Bremen (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Eintracht Frankfurt form·FC Augsburg form·Head-to-head record