Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Mar 9 · 14:30 · Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Union Berlin

    Likeliest: Eintracht Frankfurt win · 52%

    A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Eintracht Frankfurt52%——
    OursMarket
    Draw23%——
    OursMarket
    FC Union Berlin24%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals56%——
    Double chance 1X75%——
    Double chance X248%——
    Double chance 1276%——
    Draw no bet (home)68%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    DrawWinLossLossWin
    • Mar 6 · at Ajax (A)2-1
    • Mar 1 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)1-4
    • Feb 23 · at FC Bayern München (A)0-4
    • Feb 16 · v Holstein Kiel (H)3-1
    • Feb 8 · at Borussia Mönchengladbach (A)1-1
    FC Union Berlin
    DrawWinLossLossLoss
    • Mar 2 · v Holstein Kiel (H)0-1
    • Feb 22 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)0-6
    • Feb 15 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)1-2
    • Feb 8 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)4-0
    • Feb 1 · v RB Leipzig (H)0-0
    Last 10 gamesEintracht FrankfurtFC Union Berlin
    Won-drawn-lost4-3-32-1-6
    Goals scored a game1.40.8
    Goals conceded a game1.61.9
    Over 2.5 goals50%56%
    Both teams scored60%22%
    Clean sheets20%22%
    Last 10 at this venue4-1-1—

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Eintracht Frankfurt form·FC Union Berlin form·Head-to-head record

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