Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Nov 9 · 18:30 · Eintracht Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05
Likeliest: Eintracht Frankfurt win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Eintracht Frankfurt51%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
FSV Mainz 0523%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Eintracht Frankfurt
DrawLossWinDrawDraw
- Nov 4 · at Napoli (A)0-0
- Nov 1 · at Heidenheim (A)1-1
- Oct 25 · v St. Pauli (H)2-0
- Oct 22 · v Liverpool (H)1-5
- Oct 19 · at SC Freiburg (A)2-2
FSV Mainz 05
WinLossLossDrawWin
- Nov 6 · v Fiorentina (H)2-1
- Nov 1 · v Werder Bremen (H)1-1
- Oct 29 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)0-2
- Oct 26 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)1-2
- Oct 23 · v Zrinjski (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Eintracht Frankfurt | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-4 | 4-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Eintracht Frankfurt form·FSV Mainz 05 form·Head-to-head record