Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Nov 30 · 16:30 · Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfL Wolfsburg
Likeliest: Eintracht Frankfurt win · 54%
We make it 44% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 38%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Eintracht Frankfurt54%51%+3
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
VfL Wolfsburg22%25%−3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 62% | −6 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 75% | +3 |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | 49% | −3 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 67% | +4 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Eintracht Frankfurt
DrawDrawWinWinLoss
- Nov 26 · v Atalanta (H)0-3
- Nov 22 · at FC Köln (A)4-3
- Nov 9 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)1-0
- Nov 4 · at Napoli (A)0-0
- Nov 1 · at Heidenheim (A)1-1
VfL Wolfsburg
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Nov 22 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)1-3
- Nov 7 · at Werder Bremen (A)1-2
- Nov 2 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)2-3
- Oct 28 · v Holstein Kiel (H)0-1
- Oct 25 · at Hamburger SV (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Eintracht Frankfurt | VfL Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 1-1-8 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-4 | 4-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Eintracht Frankfurt form·VfL Wolfsburg form·Head-to-head record