DFB Pokal (Germany) · Sat, Aug 22 · 16:00 · Eintracht Trier vs RB Leipzig
Likeliest: RB Leipzig win · 46%
We make it 53% for both teams to score. The market says 42%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Eintracht Trier32%2%+30
OursMarket
Draw23%5%+18
OursMarket
RB Leipzig46%94%−48
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 87% | −34 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 42% | +10 |
| Double chance 1X | 54% | 6% | +48 |
| Double chance X2 | 68% | 98% | −30 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 95% | −18 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 41% | 2% | +39 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Eintracht Trier
No recent results tracked.
RB Leipzig
WinWinLossWinLoss
- May 16 · at SC Freiburg (A)1-4
- May 9 · v St. Pauli (H)2-1
- May 2 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)1-4
- Apr 24 · v FC Union Berlin (H)3-1
- Apr 18 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Eintracht Trier | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 7-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 80% |
| Both teams scored | — | 70% |
| Clean sheets | — | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.