Copa Del Rey (Spain) · Wed, Jan 15 · 20:30 · Elche vs Atlético Madrid
Likeliest: Elche win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Elche41%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Atlético Madrid31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Elche
WinWin
- Jan 12 · v Real Zaragoza (H)1-0
- Jan 5 · v Las Palmas (H)4-0
Atlético Madrid
WinWin
- Jan 12 · v Osasuna (H)1-0
- Jan 4 · at Marbella (A)1-0