3rd Division, Group 6 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 · Elverum vs Gjøvik-Lyn
Likeliest: Elverum win · 42%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Elverum42%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Gjøvik-Lyn37%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 2.0 | 1.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Elverum
WinLossWinWinWin
- Oct 17 · at Drøbak/Frogn (A)3-1
- Oct 12 · v Lyn 1896 FK II (H)4-3
- Oct 3 · v Bjoerkelangen (H)5-0
- Sep 26 · at Sandefjord Fotball II (A)3-4
- Sep 19 · v Raelingen FK (H)4-1
Gjøvik-Lyn
LossLossWinWinWin
- Oct 17 · v Oppsal (H)1-0
- Oct 10 · at Bjoerkelangen (A)7-1
- Oct 3 · v Raelingen FK (H)5-0
- Sep 26 · at Sarpsborg 08 II (A)2-3
- Sep 19 · at Drøbak/Frogn (A)2-3
| Last 10 games | Elverum | Gjøvik-Lyn |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 5-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.0 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-0-1 | 2-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.