Premier League (Egypt) · Wed, Sep 16 · 17:00 · ENPPI vs Pyramids FC
Likeliest: Pyramids FC win · 63%
A tight one: we make it 63% for the away win. The market says 62%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
ENPPI11%13%−3
OursMarket
Draw27%25%+2
OursMarket
Pyramids FC63%62%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 40% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 32% | 31% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 37% | 38% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 89% | 87% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 14% | 18% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 0.8 | 1.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
ENPPI
LossLossLossDrawWin
- Sep 9 · v ZED FC (H)2-1
- Sep 1 · at Ghazl El Mahalla (A)0-0
- Aug 28 · v Wadi Degla (H)1-3
- Aug 23 · at Al Ahly FC (A)2-3
- May 5 · at Al Ahly (A)0-3
Pyramids FC
WinWinWinWinWin
- Sep 13 · v Gor Mahia FC (H)5-1
- Sep 9 · v El Gouna FC (H)1-0
- Sep 6 · at Gor Mahia FC (A)2-0
- Aug 31 · at Al-Masry (A)1-0
- Aug 27 · v Abu Qair Semad (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | ENPPI | Pyramids FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 9-1-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 7-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.