Premier League (Egypt) · Fri, Aug 28 · 14:00 · ENPPI vs Wadi Degla
Likeliest: ENPPI win · 46%
We make it 52% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 36%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
ENPPI46%37%+9
OursMarket
Draw26%34%−8
OursMarket
Wadi Degla28%30%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 36% | +15 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 42% | +11 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 70% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 63% | −9 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 66% | +8 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | 55% | +7 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
ENPPI
DrawDrawLossLossLoss
- Aug 23 · at Al Ahly FC (A)2-3
- May 5 · at Al Ahly (A)0-3
- May 1 · at Pyramids FC (A)2-3
- Apr 27 · at Zamalek (A)0-0
- Apr 22 · at Al Masry (A)2-2
Wadi Degla
DrawDrawWinWinDraw
- Aug 21 · v ZED FC (H)0-0
- May 28 · at El Geish (A)2-0
- May 28 · at Tala'ea El-Gaish (A)2-0
- May 22 · v ZED FC (H)2-2
- May 18 · at Arab Contractors FC (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | ENPPI | Wadi Degla |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 4-6-0 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.