Premier League (Egypt) · Wed, Sep 9 · 17:00 · ENPPI vs ZED FC
Likeliest: ENPPI win · 44%
We make it 58% for both teams to score. The market says 43%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
ENPPI44%32%+12
OursMarket
Draw26%34%−8
OursMarket
ZED FC30%34%−4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 32% | +21 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 43% | +15 |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 66% | +4 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 68% | −12 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 66% | +8 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | 49% | +11 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
ENPPI
LossLossLossLossDraw
- Sep 1 · at Ghazl El Mahalla (A)0-0
- Aug 28 · v Wadi Degla (H)1-3
- Aug 23 · at Al Ahly FC (A)2-3
- May 5 · at Al Ahly (A)0-3
- May 1 · at Pyramids FC (A)2-3
ZED FC
DrawDrawLossWinWin
- Sep 6 · v ASAS (H)4-0
- Sep 1 · at Tala'ea El-Gaish (A)1-0
- Aug 28 · v Al Ahly FC (H)0-2
- Aug 21 · at Wadi Degla (A)0-0
- May 29 · v Ismailia Electricity Club (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | ENPPI | ZED FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 4-5-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 3-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.