La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Feb 1 · 20:00 · Espanyol vs Real Madrid
Likeliest: Real Madrid win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Espanyol27%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Real Madrid49%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 35% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Espanyol
DrawWinDraw
- Jan 25 · at Sevilla (A)1-1
- Jan 17 · v Real Valladolid (H)2-1
- Jan 11 · v Leganés (H)1-1
Real Madrid
WinWinWinWinWin
- Jan 29 · at Brest (A)3-0
- Jan 25 · at Real Valladolid (A)3-0
- Jan 22 · v Salzburg (H)5-1
- Jan 19 · v Las Palmas (H)4-1
- Jan 6 · at Deportiva Minera (A)5-0
| Last 10 games | Espanyol | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 6-0-0 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 3.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 100% |
| Both teams scored | — | 50% |
| Clean sheets | — | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.