Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Thu, Sep 10 · 15:30 · Esteghlal FC vs Paykan
Likeliest: Esteghlal FC win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Esteghlal FC49%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Paykan25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Esteghlal FC
WinWinDrawDrawDraw
- Sep 6 · at Aluminium Arak (A)0-0
- Sep 2 · v Persepolis FC (H)1-1
- Aug 28 · at Foolad Khuzestan (A)0-0
- Aug 23 · v Sepahan S.C. (H)2-0
- Aug 18 · at Nassaji Mazandaran FC (A)1-0
Paykan
DrawWinDrawLossWin
- Sep 6 · v Sanat Naft Abadan (H)2-0
- Sep 2 · at Zob Ahan (A)0-1
- Aug 28 · v Esteghlal Khuzestan (H)0-0
- Aug 24 · at Kheybar Khorramabad FC (A)3-2
- Aug 18 · v Gol Gohar Sirjan (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Esteghlal FC | Paykan |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.