Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Wed, Sep 2 · 16:00 · Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC
Likeliest: Esteghlal FC win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Esteghlal FC52%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Persepolis FC24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Esteghlal FC
WinWinWinWinDraw
- Aug 28 · at Foolad Khuzestan (A)0-0
- Aug 23 · v Sepahan S.C. (H)2-0
- Aug 18 · at Nassaji Mazandaran FC (A)1-0
- Aug 14 · v Mes Shahr Babak (H)4-0
- Feb 27 · v Fajr Sepasi (H)2-1
Persepolis FC
DrawWinWinLossWin
- Aug 29 · v Malavan Bandar Anzali FC (H)3-0
- Aug 24 · at Tractor FC (A)0-1
- Aug 19 · v Esteghlal Khuzestan (H)4-1
- Aug 15 · at Shams Azar Qazvin (A)2-0
- Jun 26 · at Chador Malu Yazd (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Esteghlal FC | Persepolis FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-2 | 4-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.