Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Sun, Oct 25 · 13:30 · Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
Likeliest: draw · 35%
Likely score: 0–0
A tight one: we make it 35% for the draw. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Esteghlal Khuzestan33%——
OursMarket
Draw35%——
OursMarket
Shams Azar Qazvin32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 40% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 65% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Esteghlal Khuzestan
DrawLossWinLossLoss
- Oct 18 · at Kheybar Khorramabad FC (A)1-2
- Oct 8 · at Gol Gohar Sirjan (A)0-3
- Sep 10 · v Tractor FC (H)1-0
- Sep 6 · at Sepahan S.C. (A)0-1
- Sep 1 · v Chador Malu Yazd (H)1-1
Shams Azar Qazvin
DrawLossLossDrawDraw
- Oct 18 · v Sepahan S.C. (H)0-0
- Oct 10 · at Paykan (A)1-1
- Sep 10 · v Gol Gohar Sirjan (H)2-3
- Sep 6 · at Chador Malu Yazd (A)0-1
- Sep 1 · v Tractor FC (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Esteghlal Khuzestan | Shams Azar Qazvin |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-3-6 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.