FA Cup (England) · Sat, Feb 8 · 15:00 · Everton vs AFC Bournemouth
Likeliest: Everton win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Everton39%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
AFC Bournemouth32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Everton
WinLossWinWinWin
- Feb 1 · v Leicester City (H)4-0
- Jan 25 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-0
- Jan 19 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)3-2
- Jan 15 · v Aston Villa (H)0-1
- Jan 9 · v Peterborough United (H)2-0
AFC Bournemouth
WinDrawWinWinLoss
- Feb 1 · v Liverpool (H)0-2
- Jan 25 · v Nottingham Forest (H)5-0
- Jan 18 · at Newcastle United (A)4-1
- Jan 14 · at Chelsea (A)2-2
- Jan 11 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)5-1
| Last 10 games | Everton | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-2 | 4-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.