Women's Super League (England) · Sun, Sep 13 · 13:00 · Everton vs Charlton Athletic WFC
Likeliest: Everton win · 63%
A tight one: we make it 63% for the home win. The market says 63%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Everton63%63%0
OursMarket
Draw21%21%−1
OursMarket
Charlton Athletic WFC16%16%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 84% | 84% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | 37% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | 79% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 79% | 80% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 2.4 | 0.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Everton
Loss
- Sep 6 · at Crystal Palace (A)0-1
Charlton Athletic WFC
Loss
- Sep 6 · v Liverpool FC (H)0-4