Premier League (England) · Sat, Nov 8 · 15:00 · Everton vs Fulham
Likeliest: Everton win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Everton45%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Fulham31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Everton
DrawWinLossLossDraw
- Nov 3 · at Sunderland (A)1-1
- Oct 26 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)0-3
- Oct 18 · at Manchester City (A)0-2
- Oct 5 · v Crystal Palace (H)2-1
- Sep 29 · v West Ham United (H)1-1
Fulham
LossLossLossLossWin
- Nov 1 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)3-0
- Oct 25 · at Newcastle United (A)1-2
- Oct 18 · v Arsenal (H)0-1
- Oct 3 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)1-3
- Sep 28 · at Aston Villa (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Everton | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 5-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 2-1-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.