Premier League (England) · Wed, Feb 12 · 19:30 · Everton vs Liverpool
Likeliest: Everton win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Everton45%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Liverpool29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Everton
LossWinWinWinLoss
- Feb 8 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)0-2
- Feb 1 · v Leicester City (H)4-0
- Jan 25 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-0
- Jan 19 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)3-2
- Jan 15 · v Aston Villa (H)0-1
Liverpool
WinDrawWinWinLoss
- Feb 9 · at Plymouth Argyle (A)0-1
- Feb 8 · v Miramar Misiones (H)2-1
- Feb 6 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)4-0
- Feb 1 · at Danubio (A)1-1
- Feb 1 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | Everton | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-3 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 14% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-2 | 2-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.