Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 22 · 12:30 · Everton vs Manchester United
Likeliest: Everton win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Everton42%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Manchester United32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Everton
WinWinLossDrawWin
- Feb 15 · at Crystal Palace (A)2-1
- Feb 12 · v Liverpool (H)2-2
- Feb 8 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)0-2
- Feb 1 · v Leicester City (H)4-0
- Jan 25 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-0
Manchester United
WinWinLossWinLoss
- Feb 16 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)0-1
- Feb 7 · v Leicester City (H)2-1
- Feb 2 · v Crystal Palace (H)0-2
- Jan 30 · at FCSB (A)2-0
- Jan 26 · at Fulham (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Everton | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-3 | 5-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 22% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.